Independiente Juniors vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
INJ
22%
30%
48%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 3
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 1
INJ
21%
29%
50%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 1
OCT
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
BSC
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 0
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
2 - 3
MUS
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
EME
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
MUS
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
MUS
15%
21%
65%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |