Independiente Juniors vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
8º
4º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
INJ
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
ESA
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 2
INJ
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 2
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
INJ
22%
27%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 5
CUN
22%
30%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
RIV
20%
31%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
CSV
37%
29%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSV
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |