Independiente Juniors vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
7º
5º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 0
INJ
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
OCT
5 - 1
INJ
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
IMB
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
INJ
1 - 1
AME
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
OLM
2 - 1
INJ
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAC
20%
27%
53%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
CSV
62%
24%
14%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
MAN
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
CUN
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 0
CSV
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |