Independiente Fontana vs Ex Alumnos 185 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
IND
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
FON
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 0
IND
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
IND
0 - 1
SMA
14%
22%
64%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
IND
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 0
SMA
14%
22%
64%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
ALU
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 1
SPA
14%
22%
65%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 0
ALU
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 1
SAR
20%
24%
57%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |