Independiente FBC vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
RES
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 2
IND
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
TAC
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
RES
0 - 0
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
TAC
1 - 2
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
TAC
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
TAC
1 - 2
RPA
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |