Independiente FBC vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
CCP
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 1
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 2
IND
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
OLI
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAC
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
25%
30%
46%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 1
TAC
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
23%
27%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |