Independiente FBC vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LQE
0 - 3
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
IND
1 - 3
CCP
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AME
3 - 1
IND
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LQE
0 - 2
RÑU
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
RÑU
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |