Independiente FBC vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TAC
1 - 3
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
RES
0 - 0
IND
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
OLI
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
RPA
1 - 0
RES
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
RPA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RPA
1 - 2
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 1
RPA
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RPA
3 - 1
SDP
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |