Independiente FBC vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
IND
0 - 2
SPT
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
IND
0 - 3
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 0
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
IND
0 - 5
LIB
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RPA
0 - 0
TAC
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
2DE
0 - 1
RPA
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RPA
2 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SPT
2 - 1
RPA
40%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
RPA
2 - 1
SPO
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |