Independiente FBC vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
LIB
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AME
3 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 1
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
GEN
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
SPT
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 0
OLI
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
OLI
51%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |