Independiente FBC vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
IND
0 - 2
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 3
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
CCP
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |