Independiente FBC vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
RÑU
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
DEP
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 4
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 2
LQE
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 3
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 2
SPT
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |