Independiente FBC vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
55.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 0
IND
74%
17%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
RÑU
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 7
LIB
21%
26%
52%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
CAR
73%
19%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
AME
0 - 0
LIB
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |