Independiente FBC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 1
IND
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
LQE
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
IND
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
CER
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
RÑU
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
32%
29%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |