Independiente FBC vs Guaraní analysis

Independiente FBC Guaraní
63 ELO 76
3.5% Tilt 3.7%
1662º General ELO ranking 806º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.3%
Independiente FBC
26.8%
Draw
46.9%
Guaraní

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
Independiente FBC
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.9%
Win probability
Guaraní
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independiente FBC
-5%
-9%
Guaraní

ELO progression

Independiente FBC
Guaraní
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2012
TAC
Tacuary
3 - 2
Independiente FBC
IND
38%
27%
35%
64 60 4 0
06 Oct. 2012
NAC
Nacional
5 - 1
Independiente FBC
IND
67%
21%
13%
64 76 12 0
30 Sep. 2012
IND
Independiente FBC
0 - 1
Sportivo Luqueño
LQE
51%
26%
24%
65 66 1 -1
24 Sep. 2012
LIB
Libertad
3 - 0
Independiente FBC
IND
68%
21%
11%
66 80 14 -1
16 Sep. 2012
IND
Independiente FBC
2 - 1
PF Cerro Por.
CER
45%
26%
29%
65 67 2 +1

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2012
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
37%
27%
36%
76 80 4 0
07 Oct. 2012
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 0
Rubio Ñu
RÑU
65%
22%
14%
75 65 10 +1
30 Sep. 2012
CAR
Sportivo Carapeguá
1 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
32%
29%
38%
75 66 9 0
25 Sep. 2012
GUA
Guaraní
3 - 2
Sol de América
AME
53%
25%
22%
75 71 4 0
15 Sep. 2012
OLI
Olimpia
0 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
56%
24%
20%
74 79 5 +1