Independiente FBC vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
RES
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 5
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
IND
3 - 1
OVE
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
DEP
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 1
FER
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FER
6 - 4
OVE
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
FER
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
OLI
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |