Independiente FBC vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
IND
0 - 3
CCP
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
OLI
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 2
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
AME
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
DEP
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |