Independiente FBC vs Caacupé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
5 - 2
IND
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RES
1 - 2
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
IND
4 - 1
CRI
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caacupé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GEN
4 - 3
DEP
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 2
CDL
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SPT
1 - 0
DEP
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 4
SPC
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 2
DEP
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |