Independiente FBC vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SPT
1 - 1
IND
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
IND
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
SPO
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CER
0 - 0
RES
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
CER
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CER
1 - 4
SAN
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
CER
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CER
0 - 1
SDP
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |