Independiente FBC vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CCP
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CER
2 - 0
TAC
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CER
2 - 3
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |