Independiente Chorrera vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
5º
1º
19
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
ARA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
IND
2 - 0
TAU
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
COS
1 - 4
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
40%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
SMI
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 1
UME
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
AMA
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UME
3 - 1
AFC
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
UME
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UME
2 - 0
COS
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |