Independiente Chorrera vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
9º
6º
21
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 1
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
SFF
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 2
IND
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
IND
3 - 0
TAU
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
UME
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
SUN
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UME
3 - 2
AZU
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 0
UME
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
UME
3 - 4
IND
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |