Liga CONCACAF Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Independiente Chorrera vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SAP
3 - 2
IND
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAP
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SAP
3 - 2
IND
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAP
2 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
PER
0 - 1
SAP
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAP
4 - 0
LAU
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |