Independiente Chorrera vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 1
IND
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
MSM
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 1
IND
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
OES
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
0 - 2
IND
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
MSM
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
OES
1 - 1
COL
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COL
3 - 0
VER
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
GEM
2 - 0
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
RIO
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |