Independiente Chorrera vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
SUN
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
AZU
0 - 1
IND
27%
30%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
IND
3 - 1
SFF
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
IND
0 - 0
COS
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHO
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 2
SFF
35%
27%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 5
CHO
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 1
CHO
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |