Independiente Chorrera vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
CHI
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 1
IND
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
MSM
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 1
IND
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 0
COL
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MSM
1 - 1
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
OES
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
VER
2 - 3
CEN
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 2
GEM
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |