Independiente Chorrera vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
1º
23
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
IND
27%
28%
46%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TAU
3 - 3
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 0
AZU
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
AZU
0 - 0
SMI
34%
30%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
AMA
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 1
AZU
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COS
2 - 1
AZU
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |