Independiente Chorrera vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 3
IND
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
COS
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
IND
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
CHO
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 0
CHI
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 3
ARA
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
AZU
0 - 0
ARA
28%
29%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
SMI
3 - 2
ARA
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
53%
27%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |