Independiente Chorrera vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
SFF
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 1
IND
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
COS
1 - 2
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
IND
2 - 1
MSM
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
COS
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
GEM
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SFF
0 - 2
ARA
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 0
ARA
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 1
ARA
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |