Independiente Cauquenes vs Provincial Marga Marga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
GVE
1 - 1
CAU
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
CAU
2 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
LIM
2 - 1
CAU
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
CAU
0 - 1
CHG
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
DSC
2 - 0
CAU
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Provincial Marga Marga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
PUB
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
REN
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
ENF
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |