Copa Chile 1/16
Global 0-5
Independiente Cauquenes vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 3
CAU
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
SAU
3 - 3
CAU
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAU
1 - 1
GVE
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 3
CAU
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAU
1 - 1
FVC
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
CUR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
CUR
2 - 1
HUA
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 1
CUR
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
IQU
2 - 2
CUR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CUR
0 - 0
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |