Independiente Cauquenes vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAU
2 - 1
CAU
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
CAU
0 - 0
CDP
29%
23%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NTA
3 - 0
CAU
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAU
1 - 0
CHG
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAL
2 - 1
CAU
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 1
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
DSC
2 - 1
CDM
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 1
MAL
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CDP
1 - 0
CDM
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 1
NTA
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |