Independiente Chivilcoy vs Jorge Newbery Junín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
EVE
0 - 1
IND
15%
19%
66%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
RGM
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
BRC
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 2
IND
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 3
IND
11%
18%
71%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery Junín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JNJ
0 - 0
DCM
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
JNJ
0 - 1
SPO
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JNJ
1 - 0
EVE
42%
24%
35%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RGM
0 - 4
JNJ
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
JNJ
1 - 1
BRC
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |