Independiente Chivilcoy vs Circulo Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
CIP
1 - 1
IND
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CIB
0 - 0
IND
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
IND
2 - 1
CSE
14%
24%
61%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 0
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
IND
2 - 0
FAD
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 0
CSE
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 2
CDC
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 0
OLI
15%
22%
63%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
CDC
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
DCA
1 - 0
CDC
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |