Independiente Chivilcoy vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
4º
3º
18
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
DPR
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 2
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 0
IND
32%
31%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
JAN
45%
29%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
UNI
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 2
BUC
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
JAN
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
BUC
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
GIM
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |