Independiente Chivilcoy vs Belgrano San Nicolás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
5 - 0
IND
42%
24%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
DCM
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
INN
2 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
TFE
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano San Nicolás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
RIV
17%
21%
63%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
DEF
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
SRI
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
DCM
2 - 1
BEL
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |