Independiente Chivilcoy vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 2
IND
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
IND
0 - 3
DFR
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
TAL
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
LIB
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 1
UNI
21%
24%
56%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
ALV
71%
20%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
2 - 4
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 0
ALV
86%
11%
4%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 0
ALV
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -3 |