Independiente C/r B vs Murense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
71.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente C/r B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ESP
4 - 1
IND
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
IND
4 - 2
FER
51%
19%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
ATL
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SRO
3 - 2
IND
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
SAR
58%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Murense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
SRO
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MUR
4 - 1
LUN
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LLU
0 - 3
MUR
16%
18%
67%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
POB
0 - 2
MUR
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 0
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |