Independiente C/r B vs Arta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
82.6%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
7.7%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente C/r B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PON
4 - 1
IND
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LLU
1 - 0
IND
32%
21%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
CAL
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 3
IND
63%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
IND
43%
21%
37%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ART
1 - 0
AND
92%
6%
3%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ART
6 - 2
FER
92%
6%
3%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 4
ART
13%
15%
73%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ART
4 - 0
SAR
89%
7%
4%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 3
ART
23%
19%
58%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |