Independente SP vs Monte Azul analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

21.2%

Draw

0-0

21.2%

78.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
32.9%
-1
32.9%
0-2
25.5%
-2
25.5%
0-3
13.2%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.6%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-13%

+22%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independente SP

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
01 Nov. 2015	PEN 0 - 0 IND 49% 26% 25%	57	60	3	0
24 Oct. 2015	IND 1 - 1 PEN 32% 27% 41%	56	60	4	+1
18 Oct. 2015	ITU 0 - 1 IND 64% 22% 14%	55	66	11	+1
15 Oct. 2015	IND 2 - 1 SAO 26% 26% 48%	54	62	8	+1
10 Oct. 2015	IND 1 - 1 MIR 23% 25% 52%	54	63	9	0

Matches

Monte Azul

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
30 Jan. 2016	MON 1 - 3 GUA 34% 28% 38%	53	60	7	0
03 May. 2015	MON 0 - 0 RIO 38% 26% 36%	53	55	2	0
25 Apr. 2015	AGU 3 - 0 MON 54% 22% 24%	54	58	4	-1
19 Apr. 2015	MON 1 - 1 OES 25% 25% 50%	53	63	10	+1
12 Apr. 2015	BAT 0 - 1 MON 38% 26% 36%	53	51	2	0