Independente SP vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
XVD
0 - 1
IND
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
5 - 0
RIO
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MON
3 - 1
MIR
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 3
FRA
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 0
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
MIR
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |