Independente SP vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
BAT
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
IND
2 - 3
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAO
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 3
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
COM
5 - 0
MAT
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
MAT
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
BAT
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |