Independente SP vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 1
IND
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ECN
1 - 0
IND
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
COM
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BFC
1 - 0
IND
13%
17%
71%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
IND
0 - 3
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GDS
2 - 0
BFC
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GDS
0 - 4
FRA
23%
19%
58%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 1
GDS
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GDS
0 - 2
ECN
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
JFC
0 - 0
GDS
13%
16%
71%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |