Independente SP vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
IND
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
FER
30%
25%
44%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
VOT
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
ATL
31%
24%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
VOT
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |