Independente AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 3
TDC
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
2 - 0
IAP
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 0
IAP
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
IAP
1 - 4
TDC
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 8
YAP
31%
24%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
2 - 8
SPM
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
3 - 0
SPM
55%
20%
26%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 5
SAN
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 0
SPM
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |