Amapaense Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Independente AP vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
IAP
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
IAP
2 - 1
TDC
39%
23%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
1 - 3
IAP
51%
23%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
IAP
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SPM
0 - 2
IAP
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
IAP
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
7 - 1
SEC
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
IMP
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |