Independente AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
IAP
1 - 2
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 1
IAP
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
IAP
1 - 1
YAP
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
ECM
0 - 0
CRI
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ECM
0 - 6
TDC
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ECM
0 - 2
YAP
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SPM
3 - 2
ECM
20%
25%
55%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
ECM
3 - 3
SAN
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |