Independência vs São Francisco AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
RIO
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 1
IND
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
IND
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 2
IND
21%
19%
60%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
4 - 1
SFC
30%
20%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
RIO
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
GAL
22%
20%
59%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
SCH
16%
18%
67%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
PLA
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |