Independência vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
53.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AND
1 - 3
IND
18%
18%
64%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
IND
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SEG
0 - 0
IND
19%
19%
63%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
VAS
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
IND
4 - 2
SFC
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SEG
1 - 1
RIO
14%
17%
69%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
AND
75%
16%
8%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 0
VAS
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
3 - 0
RIO
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 2
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |