Incomáti vs ENH Vilankulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
MUC
0 - 1
IDX
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
IDX
0 - 0
BEI
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FER
3 - 0
IDX
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
IDX
1 - 0
FER
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
HCB
0 - 0
IDX
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
ENH Vilankulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
COS
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FER
0 - 0
VIL
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
MAX
32%
28%
39%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 3
VIL
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
MAT
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |