Incomáti vs Sporting Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAX
1 - 1
IDX
46%
29%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
IDX
1 - 1
QUE
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
IDX
39%
31%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
IDX
2 - 1
FER
36%
31%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TEX
1 - 0
IDX
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCC
6 - 0
SCN
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
FER
6 - 0
SCN
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SCN
4 - 2
MAX
33%
31%
37%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
QUE
3 - 2
SCN
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SCN
0 - 1
VIL
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |